Ohio GOP Primary Analysis

Ohioans cast their 2016 party Primary ballots last night, and the preliminary, unofficial results of the 8887 statewide precincts reporting (100%) according to Ohio Secretary of State John Husted, Ohio Governor and GOP Presidential nominee contender John R. Kasich won 917,284 votes, which represented 46.98% of all GOP Primary ballots cast statewide.

The next nearest contender, Donald J. Trump, won 700,325 votes which represented 35.87% of all GOP ballots cast.

A total of 1,952,345 GOP ballots were cast statewide. In the Democrat primary, 1,201,950 ballots were cast statewide.

There were 62% more GOP ballots cast statewide than there were ballots cast for Democrat candidates U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and former U.S. Secretary of State / U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York.

In the traditionally Democratic-leaning Hamilton County (where Cincinnati is located) 225,771 voters cast ballots.

GOP Presidential nominee candidate John R. Kasich won 67,510 votes in Hamilton County, which was 52.41% of all GOP ballots cast there. The next closest GOP contender was Donald J. Trump with 40,951 votes, which was 31.79% of all GOP ballots cast in Hamilton County. 

Of the 96,970 Democrat ballots cast in Hamilton County’s 556 precincts, Hillary Clinton won 57,687 votes, which was 59.49% of all Democrat ballots cast there.

Bernie Sanders won 38,956, or 40.17% of all Democrat ballots, and Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente won 327 for 0.34% of all Democrat ballots cast in Hamilton County.

Approximately 42% of registered voters turned out, which was more than double that of the 2012 primary. 

Republican voters also outnumbered Democrats by a 3-2 margin.

So-called “crossover” voting – which is when voters of one party votes for candidate(s) of another party – is STRONG in Hamilton County in this primary, which is highly suggestive of how the Presidential Election will go.

Historically, voter turnout in Ohio has been strong in the Presidential Election years since 1980, and between 67-77% of registered voters cast ballots during those years.