Posts Tagged ‘statistics’
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Monday, December 5, 2016
A man named John Goodwin made a public post on FaceBook, which also included a link to an OpEd published in the Washington Post on November 9, 2016, which was written by Charles Camosy (PhD, University of Notre Dame), and entitled “Trump won because college-educated Americans are out of touch.” Dr. Camosy is an Associate Professor of Theological and Social Ethics at Fordham University, and the author of a book entitled “Beyond the Abortion Wars: A Way Forward for A New Generation.”
Mr. Goodwin’s FaceBook profile is sufficiently ambiguous of himself, though in his public post which is time & date-stamped 9:45AM, November 10, 2016, and ostensibly geolocated from Washington, D.C., he wrote of himself that, “I haven’t posted about the election mostly because 1) I do this for a living and most of you don’t,” which would lead one to suppose that at some level, he works in or with public policy, or more likely, with politicians.
I do not.
However, suffice it to say, that for many, many, many years, I have remained immensely interested in public policy, though I do not now, nor have I ever made my living from it, or influencing, or attempting to influence others in elected office.
In other words, I have taken the high road.
Mr. Goodwin’s public post to FaceBook is linked herein, as is the article upon which he expounded.
In order to fully understand the matter of discussion herein, I encourage the reader to fully read this item following herein, as well as Mr. Goodwin’s post, and the OpEd upon which he opined
I have responded to Mr. Goodwin’s post as follows:
His words appear italicized, and in “quotation marks.”
My commentary follows immediately after.
“…not everyone lives in big cities.”
• That is correct. The United States Census Bureau says that 80.7% of American reside in urban areas. In fact, they report that “the population density in cities is more than 46 times higher than the territory outside of cities.” So that leaves a whopping 19.3% in rural areas.
“I didn’t grow up with money.”
• Money had been invented by the time I was born. But seriously, someone votes for Donald Trump as if the wealthy are advocates for the impoverished or even the average American? C’mon. Mr. Born-With-A-Silver-Spoon-In-His-Mouth? Really?
“…not everyone went to elite colleges.”
• According to the United States Census Bureau, “in 2015, almost 9 out of 10 adults (88 percent) had at least a high school diploma or GED, while nearly 1 in 3 adults (33 percent) held a bachelor’s or higher degree.” I’m in the 33%. So I’m an elite. Thanks!
“You think they (people who eat at Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home., - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: "Once upon a time NASCAR had glory. Those days are gone.", AK-47, AK47, AR-15, AR15, Catholic, CDC, Center on Education and the Workforce, Charles Camosy, Christ, Coal, college, Congress, Congressional Research Service, CRS, Democrat, Donald Trump, Duck Dynasty, editorial, education, election, ethics, FaceBook, facts, figures, fly ash, Fordham, Gatlinburg, GOP, guns, Guy Fieri, Hamilton, Hillary, Jesus, John Goodwin, Knoxville, laboratory, liberal, musical, NASCAR, Notre Dame, Oak Ridge, OpEd, opinion, policy, politics, pollution, post, POTUS, president, public, religion, Republican, research, science, shooting, slurry, Smoky Mountains, statistics, Tennessee, theology, TN, Trump, University of Notre Dame, Wal Mart, Walmart, WMT | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Thursday, October 20, 2016
A few thoughts on a Presidential Debate topic by Moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News, with candidates Hillary Clinton (D) and Donald Trump (R) from the third, and final debate held last night at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Wednesday, 19 October 2016:
1.) Tweet from Dr. Jen Gunter, MD: “There is no such thing as a ninth month abortion – I’m a doctor who trained in late term abortions”
2.) A portion of her blog entry (linked herein) on the topic from the Debate states: “Trump’s statement, as incorrect as it may be, supports the fallacy of the due-date abortion. It is a common anti-choice narrative that Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Do you feel like we do, Dr. Who?, - Faith, Religion, Goodness - What is the Soul of a man?, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home., - Uncategorized | Tagged: abortion, Associate Justice, Associate Justices, birth control, Byron White, Chief Justice, Chris Wallace, Clinton, CO, Colorado, Constitution, constitutional, Constitutional law, contraception, contraceptive, contracetption, debate, Debate Night, Dem, Democrat, Dems, facts, female, females, fetus, foetus, Fox, geotag, geotagged, GOP, Harry Blackmun, health, healthcare, Hillary, Las Vegas, late, late term, late term abortion, law, Lewis F. Powell Jr., medication, medicine, moderator, Nevada, NV, October, party politics, Planned Parenthood, politics, Potter Stewart, Pregnancy, Presidential Debate, presidentisl debate, privacy, Republican, research, Right to Privacy, rights, Roe, Roe v Wade, SCOTUS, statistics, term, Texas, Third Debate, Thurgood Marshall, Trump, TX, University of Nevada, University of Nevada Las Vegas, UNLV, Warren E. Burger, William J. Brennan Jr., William O. Douglas, William Rehnquist, woman, women, youth | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Tuesday, September 6, 2016
Renown astrophysicist Stephen Hawking appeared on the Larry King Now show June 2016, and was interviewed by the esteemed long-time journalist.
In the interview, among the comments Hawking made was that “We certainly have not become less greedy or less stupid. The population has grown by half a billion since our last meeting, with no end in sight. At this rate, it will be eleven billion by 2100.”
News of the interview was covered by USA Today, and subsequently by The Intellectualist website, both which focused upon Professor Hawking‘s remark as referenced above.
This is worth noting:
The article quoted Hawking as saying, Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Lost In Space: TOTALLY Discombobulated, - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: 2026, astrophysicist, facts, fail blog, figures, fool, genius, greed, greedy, growth, Hawking, humanity, humor, idiocy, idiot, Internet, interview, June, Larry King, Larry King Now, OpEd, opinion, population, population growth, radio, science, sophomore, Standard deviation, Standard Normal Distribution, statistics, Stephen Hawking, stupid, teevee, The Intellectualist, tv, USA TODAY | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Friday, October 30, 2015
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has long opposed Capital Punishment in the United States.
Speaking from the floor of the United States Senate Thursday, 29 October 2015, he said in part, “When we talk about criminal justice reform, I believe it is time for the United States of America to join almost every other Western, industrialized country on Earth in saying no to the death penalty.”
His Democratic contender Hillary Rodham Clinton has recently announced that she supports the Death Penalty.
Speaking in Manchester, New Hampshire Wednesday, 28 October 2015, she said in part, “I do not favor abolishing it, however, because I do think there are certain egregious cases that still deserve the consideration of the death penalty, but I’d like to see those be very limited and rare, as opposed to what we’ve seen in most states.”
For years, Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home., - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: Alcohol, Bernie, Bernie Sanders, beverage alcohol, BJS, Bureau of Justice Statistics, costs, crime, Department of Justice, DOJ, drink, ETOH, felony, Hillary Clinton, Hillary Rodham Clinton, law, marijuana, money, policy, prison, reform, regulation, Senator, smoke, statistics, taxes, US Senator, USDOJ | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Wednesday, January 28, 2015
It’s fairly explanatory. American corporations are making profits hand over fist. They’re making more profit now, than before the “Great Recession.” In fact, they’re making more than DOUBLE from their lowest during that time.
Corporate Profits After Tax
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Business... None of yours, - Even MORE Uncategorized!, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home. | Tagged: business, Company, corporate, corporate income taxes, corporation, data, economy, family, FRED, household, income, income taxes, money, profits, salary, statistics, taxes, U.S., United States, US, USA, wages, wealth, wealthy | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Sunday, October 26, 2014
Alabama Governor Bentley claims he, and his policies – whatever they are (he has none… just look for your self) – have been responsible for declining Alabama Unemployment. Fact is, he’s blowing smoke.
Alabama Governor Bentley claims he, and his policies – whatever they are (he has none… just look for your self) – have been responsible for declining Alabama Unemployment. Fact is, he’s blowing smoke.
Alabama’s Republican Governor Robert Bentley, MD has crowed about “success” in lowering Alabama unemployment during the past 4 years of his term.
However, to be certain, a random statistical examination of the state’s Unemployment rate shows that it is very likely, AT LEAST two points higher than reported. Here’s how.
Unemployment is calculated as a simple average. Take the number of people working, added into the number of people NOT working, AND who WANT to work, divided by the people who are available to work, gives the unemployment rate.
Here’s how the Bureau of Labor Statistics defines the parameters of the equation:
What are the basic concepts of employment and unemployment?
The basic concepts involved in identifying the employed and unemployed are quite simple:
• People with jobs are employed.
• People who are jobless, looking for a job, and available for work are unemployed.
• The labor force is made up of the employed and the unemployed.
• People who are neither employed nor unemployed are not in the labor force.
Simply put, the formula is:
|Unemployment Rate =
|Employed + Unemployed
However, if you’ve had a college course in Statistics – and most folks in Alabama have not (it’s part of maintaining the policy of “largely poor, uneducated, and easy to command”) – then you’d understand that a random sample of the set would show essentially the same results.
And face it… most folks in Alabama DO NOT HAVE A COLLEGE EDUCATION. In fact, according to the Alabama Department of Education, Alabama’s High School Drop Out rate is 28%. Page 2, Frame 2 of the linked document shows the 2010-2011 TOTAL Graduation Rate as 72%.
Face it… ALABAMA IS
Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Lost In Space: TOTALLY Discombobulated, - My Hometown is the sweetest place I know, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home. | Tagged: adults, analysis, Bentley, children, dumb, dumb kid, easy to command, eduction, election, facts, Fail, failure, figures, FRED, GOP, governor, Governor Bentley, graduation, High School Drop Out, idiot, idiota, ignorant, impoverished, jobs, policy, politics, poor, poverty, poverty stricken, Republican, Robert Bentley, statistics, stupid, uneducated, unemployment | 2 Comments »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Sunday, June 8, 2014
This will be of interest to the curious, especially those who seek and search for the truth.
Asserting to cite data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), CNS News recently reported that the Labor Force participation rate was at a 36-year low.
The headline to that story reads:
37.2%: Percentage Not in Labor Force Remains at 36-Year High
Upon examination of the BLS website, the data was found to be honest and accurate.
Information on the data set presented is:
Data extracted on: June 8, 2014 (4:07:31 PM)
Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey
Series ID: LNS11300000
Series title: (Seas) Labor Force Participation Rate
Labor force status: Civilian labor force participation rate
Type of data: Percent or rate
Age: 16 years and over
Following is the chart as shown on the BLS website:
If the information is accurate – that is, if it accurately represents the thing it purports to represent – then there is a genuine cause for concern, perhaps even alarm. But first, sometimes, information has to pass the “smell test.” If it just doesn’t sound right, dig a little deeper.
However, there is a DEFINITE skew which, when considered, renders the interpretation of the findings questionable, at best.
Since there are TWO separate entities reporting the SAME information, how could it possibly be inaccurate, or incorrect?
Let’s consider further, to determine if such alarm might be genuinely warranted.
Searching for Labor Force Participation Rate datasets from Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Business... None of yours, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home., - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: Australian Labor Party, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNS News, Current Population Survey, Cybercast News Service, data, economics, economy, employment, facts, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Federal Reserve System, FRED, industry, jobs, L Brent Bozell III, Labor force, May 2014, news, Seasonal adjustment, spin, statistics, United States | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Sunday, August 4, 2013
Educational attainment in the world, 1950–2010
Robert Barro, Jong-Wha Lee, 18 May 2010
Empirical investigations of the role of human capital require accurate measures across countries and over time. This column describes a new dataset on educational attainment for 146 countries at 5-year intervals from 1950 to 2010. The new data, freely available online, use more information and better methodology than existing datasets. Among the many new results is that the rate of return to an additional year of schooling on output is quite high – ranging from 5% to 12%.
It is widely accepted that human capital, particularly attained through education, is crucial to economic progress. An increase in the number of well-educated people implies a higher level of labour productivity and a greater ability to absorb advanced technology from developed countries (Acemoglu 2009). Empirical investigations of the role of human capital require accurate and internationally-comparable measures of human capital across countries and over time.
Our earlier studies (1993, 1996, and 2001) constructed measures of educational attainment of the adult population for a broad group of countries. This column introduces a new data set (available at barrolee.com) providing improved estimates for 146 countries at 5-year intervals from 1950 to 2010. The data are Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Even MORE Uncategorized!, - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: advancement, analysis, Asia-Pacific, Asian Development Bank, Barro, commerce, economists, economy, education, historical, history, Human capital, Journal of Monetary Economics, labor, modern history, policy, Rate of return, research, Robert Barro, statistics, Sub-Saharan Africa, Technology | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Saturday, March 23, 2013
The GOP recently acknowledged that, among other aspects of their party’s alienation from the American mainstream, they need to modify and change not merely their image, but their appeal to Hispanics, which have largely voted for Democratic candidates.
The irony of their acknowledgment is that they want to do the very thing they’ve demonstrated why and how they’ve alienated themselves from the American mainstream… hire a Mexican to do their work.
As reported in VOXXI, by Grace Flores-Hughes on March 19, 2013, “The Republican National Committee plans to hire political directors from the Hispanic, Asian, African American communities as well as from women’s groups.”
Read her story: “The ambitious coming out of the Republican Party”
The numbers prove it: The GOP is estranged from America
Andrew Kohut is the founding director and former president of the Pew Research Center. He served as president of the Gallup Organization from 1979 to 1989.
In my decades of polling, I recall only one moment when a party had been driven as far from the center as the Republican Party has been today.
The outsize influence of hard-line elements in the party base is doing to the GOP what supporters of Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Lost In Space: TOTALLY Discombobulated, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home. | Tagged: Andrew Kohut, Democratic, Democrats, Gallup, George McGovern, GOP, Mitt Romney, news, Obama, Pew Research Center, policy, politics, poll, reality, Republican, research, statistics, The Gallup Organization | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Friday, November 23, 2012
CDC: Abortions fall 5%, largest drop in a decade
By Michael Muskal
November 21, 2012, 1:41 p.m.
The rate of abortions in the United States fell by 5%, the largest single-year decrease in a decade, researchers for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported.
The decline is outlined in the annual abortion surveillance data for the year 2009, the latest available. It was published on Wednesday in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.
About 18% of all pregnancies in the United States end in abortion, the CDC noted. Factors from the availability of abortion providers, state laws, the general economy and access to health services including contraception, can Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Do you feel like we do, Dr. Who?, - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: abortion, birthrate, California, CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, data, facts, family, fertility, figures, health, Mississippi, MMWR, New York, news, Pregnancy, research, statistics, stats, study, termination, United States, women | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Friday, September 28, 2012
Originally entitled as: More Stupid Questions: The “More Cow Bell” Curve, and other Standard Equal (and Unequal) Distribution post
I have returned to the title which I originally started… though I vascillated between this one, as well:
Yes. More Stupid Questions… and, “I gotta’ have more Cow Bell.”
Okay, the title says it all.
That is, unless you don’t understand statistics, the bell curve and equal distribution.
But, just in the case you don’t, here’s some low-down.
According to estimates by the United States Census Bureau, our nation’s population has recently exceeded 314,469,757. And with 4.47% of the world’s population, we are the 3d most populous nation in the world. China & India, with 1,344,130,000 (19.13%) & 1,241,491,960 (17.19%), are 1st & 2d, respectively. American population is about 25% the population of India. Expressed another way, India has 75% more people than the United States.
I mentioned those figures just to give an idea of how small the U.S. really is by comparison.
Nevertheless, I digress. And so quickly! (My goodness!) Let’s return to statistics, the bell curve and equal distribution.
As you may have read in a previous post entitled “Ask a silly question, get a silly answer. Yes, there’s such thing as a STUPID question.”, “the bell curve is used to display information.”
In that post I had explained, writing that, Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Even MORE Uncategorized!, - Lost In Space: TOTALLY Discombobulated | Tagged: Bell Curve, black, China, cow bell, cowbell, crime, demographics, government, Grade, incarceration, India, justice, law, New Hampshire, Normal distribution, Office of Justice Program, Office of Justice Programs, Oklahoma, population, prison, race, Race and ethnicity in the United States Census, Standard deviation, statistics, The Bell Curve, United States, United States Census Bureau, United States Department of Justice, unusual, White | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Monday, July 9, 2012
Just in the case we need reminding.
And often, we do.
As Samuel Johnson once wrote, “Men more frequently require to be reminded than informed.”
Johnson: Rambler #2 (March 24, 1750)
January 9, 2009, 12:04 PM ET
Bush On Jobs: The Worst Track Record On Record
By WSJ Staff
President George W. Bush entered office in 2001 just as a recession was starting, and is preparing to leave in the middle of a long one. That’s almost 22 months of recession during his 96 months in office.
His job-creation record won’t look much better. The Bush administration created about three million jobs (net) over its eight years, a fraction of the 23 million jobs created under President Bill Clinton‘s administration and only slightly better than President George H.W. Bush did in his four years in office.
Here’s a look at job creation under each president since the Labor Department started keeping payroll records in 1939. The counts are based on Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Faith, Religion, Goodness - What is the Soul of a man?, - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home. | Tagged: Bill Clinton, data, Department of Labor, economy, employment, facts, George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, jobs, John F Kennedy, news, Presidents, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, statistics, Wall Street Journal | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Sunday, June 24, 2012
It seems there’s something to be said for “fresh air and sunshine.”
Out West, it’s not uncommon on many days for windows & doors to be kept open – albeit with screens – to keep out bugs. And frankly, there’s a thing present in the East, that in large part is absent in the West. Southerners call it “humidity.” Southerners subtract humidity, while Westerners add it. Either way, it’s still cooling by evaporation. It’s just that there’s an abundance of it in the South. And please bear in mind, that without humidity, it just wouldn’t be the Southern experience!
Yet, in all seriousness, I can totally understand the whys and wherefores of these findings. Frankly, they’re not surprising at all. For years, we’ve heard the colloquial voices encouraging us all to “get some fresh air.”
Turns out, there’s some truth to that… a whole lot, in fact.
Read on for the fascinating research from the University of Alabama at Birmingham.
Posted in - Do you feel like we do, Dr. Who?, - My Hometown is the sweetest place I know, - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: A/C, Air conditioner, Air Conditioning, Alabama, building, construction, Construction and Maintenance, cooling, design, findings, health, healthcare, Heating Ventilating and Air Conditioning, HVAC, International Journal of Obesity, Materials and Supplies, Mechanical, news, obesity, public health, research, statistics, UAB, United States, university, University of Alabama at Birmingham | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Saturday, June 23, 2012
The title says it all.
But the title doesn’t explain why.
Read on for more understanding.
On the FaceBook page of Loyola University New Orleans, a photograph was posted of a… well, here it is. Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Did they REALLY say that?, - Lost In Space: TOTALLY Discombobulated | Tagged: Adrian Belew, Apple, Barking Pumpkin Records, Bell Curve, Colleges and Universities, Earth, Ed Mann, education, FaceBook, Fillmore East, Frank Zappa, James Hansen, Loyola University Chicago, Loyola University New Orleans, Lumpy Gravy, math, New Orleans, New York City, New York Times, Normal distribution, recreation, Relative direction, Shankar Vedantam, Standard deviation, statistics, United States, Universal Music Enterprises, Yes (band) | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Wednesday, June 13, 2012
Who’s the Biggest Spender? Obama or Bush?
By BRUCE BARTLETT, The Fiscal Times June 1, 2012
Lately, there has been some controversy about the growth of spending under Barack Obama. It began on May 22 with a column by Rex Nutting of MarketWatch, which concluded that the rate of growth of federal spending under Obama has actually been trivial compared to the last 4 presidents.
According to Nutting’s calculations, spending has grown only 1.4 percent per year under Obama – one-fifth the rate under Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush. Following is a chart accompanying the article.
There has been a considerable amount of debate about Nutting’s calculations, which fly in the face of Republican dogma. Much involves technical accounting issues, such as how to allocate spending during fiscal year 2009. This is important because fiscal year 2009 began on September 1, 2008 during Bush’s administration, reflecting his priorities. By the time Obama took office on January 20, 2009 the fiscal year was almost half over; he didn’t submit his first budget until February 26, 2009 and the fiscal year 2010 budget is really the first one that reflected his priorities.
Nutting assigned the bulk of fiscal year 2009 spending to Bush, an assumption that other analysts have questioned. Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post found that Nutting overstated his argument in various ways. But the PoliFact site of the Tampa Bay Times concluded that the Nutting column was essentially correct.
Aside from the political implications, the reason this debate is important is because there is a tendency for people to conflate spending, deficits and debt, as well as confusing rates of change with absolute levels.
The difference between Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in - Politics... that "dirty" little "game" that first begins in the home., - Read 'em and weep: The Daily News | Tagged: Barack Obama, BarackObama, Bill Clinton, BRUCE BARTLETT, Bush I, Bush II, business, CBO, Clinton, Congressional Budget Office, economy, entrepreneurship, facts, federal, figures, GAO, George W. Bush, Government Accountability Office, Gross domestic product, hypocrisy, jobs, Marketwatch, money, news, Obama, Reagan, Ronald Reagan, statistics | 6 Comments »