Warm Southern Breeze

"… there is no such thing as nothing."

•!• WARNING •!• Trump Could Win In 2020

Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Saturday, July 11, 2020

Yes, despite what numerous polls are reporting – that Biden is leading Trump, that GOPers like Senators Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, and Susan Collins of Maine are facing challenges, including declining approval at home among their constituencies – Trump could be re-elected.

Republican Joe Walsh waves to the crowd of supporters, while standing next to his wife in Wauconda, Illinois, on November 16, 2010. U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean conceded to Walsh on Tuesday in the tightly-fought race for her former 8th Illinois Congressional District seat.

Depending, of course, upon how much stock you place in Joe Walsh (not the musician, but the washed-up GOP politician – a former TEA Party-type Illinois Representative who lost to Army infantry helicopter pilot Tammy Duckworth after maligning her heroic deeds in Iraq in which she almost lost her life, and did lose her legs), there’s this statement to consider which he made, and was published in The Guardian Saturday, 11 July 2020:

“Walsh, who unsuccessfully challenged Trump for the 2020 Republican nomination, said:

“I can tell you, publicly and privately conversations I’ve had, they’re scared shitless, all of them, any Senate Republican on the ballot. I mean, forget about Colorado, it’s done. Arizona is done. I think Maine is done. Joni Ernst in Iowa is almost done. Every race is going to be competitive. Democrat Doug Jones has got a fighter’s chance of winning in Alabama. Lindsey Graham is in serious trouble and they all know it.”

However… former CIA Intelligence Analyst Elissa Slotkin who now represents Michigan’s 8th

Elissa Slotkin is Michigan’s U.S. Representative for the 8th Congressional District which includes the capitol city of Lansing, and stretches to the northern suburbs of Detroit, is a former CIA analyst, and successfully “flipped” that district for Democrats in 2019.

Congressional District (which includes the capitol city of Lansing) as a Democrat, was interviewed by Politico on July 10th, and stated in part that the potential Trump vote is drastically UNDERCOUNTED by pollsters -AND- that that which happened in 2016 could very well happen again in 2020 for the same reasons.

When told of polling by numerous organizations that shows Biden leading, along with Trump and GOPers losing, she said…

“I don’t believe it. Listen, if anyone tells me they can accurately predict what major events are coming in the remainder of 2020, I’ll give them a thousand dollars. I mean, this has been the year of black swans. I don’t for one minute think this [presidential] race is safe in anyone’s column. I’ve been literally begging people to ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time. And if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that we have no idea what’s coming next.”

“I think they’re inaccurate. Here’s the thing. When I started to run and I had to hire a pollster, I interviewed a bunch of different folks and I decided to do what we do sometimes at the Pentagon, which is to take a ‘bad cop’ approach to the interview. It was five or six folks that I interviewed, and I said, ‘You got something wrong. You screwed up in 2016. What did you get wrong? And how are you going to fix it?’”

Only one pollster, she said, admitted that he got it wrong. And that was Al Quinlan of GQR, a large Washington-based firm which she hired.

“He told me that they fundamentally undercounted the Trump vote; that the Trump voter is not a voter in every single election, that they come out for Trump, so they’re hard to count. On a survey, if someone says, ‘I’m not sure I’m going to vote,’ you don’t usually continue the conversation. And some of them didn’t have any desire to be on those poll calls; they didn’t have the 20 minutes to talk to somebody. They didn’t want to do it. And so, they were fundamentally undercounted.”

Slotkin, ever the Intelligence Analyst — identifying trends, compiling a report, presenting a conclusion — told me, with a high degree of confidence,

“I believe that same thing is happening right now.”

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/07/10/elissa-slotkin-congress-trump-351513

One Response to “•!• WARNING •!• Trump Could Win In 2020”

  1. […] CIA Intelligence Analyst now Congressional Representative Alyssia Slotkin, who represents Michigan’s 8th Congressional District as a Democrat has said […]

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