Warm Southern Breeze

"… there is no such thing as nothing."

House Judiciary Committee Votes to Impeach Trump, Senate Likely Won’t Convict

Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Friday, December 13, 2019

The House Judiciary Committee has concluded Voting on Articles of Impeachment.
Read them here:
https://docs.house.gov/meetings/JU/JU00/20191211/110331/BILLS-116755ih-U1.pdf

Article 1 – Abuse of Power: 23 Ayes, 17 Noes
Article 2 – Obstruction of Congress: 23 Ayes, 17 Noes

As expected, based upon the evidence, the Democrats have voted to impeach POS45, and the GOP denies anything ever happened.

To be reported to the House.
Committee is adjourned.

The House, with 235 Democratic members, has the majority over Republicans’ 199. Presumably, all Democrats will vote to approve the Articles of Impeachment.

From there (the House), if approved by the House, the Articles of Impeachment would go to the Senate for a Trial, which would be presided over by SCOTUS Chief Justice John Roberts.

Senate votes to watch:
1.) Mitt Romney-UT, R
2.) Cory Gardner-CO, R, Class 2, up for re-election
3.) Tim Scott-SC, R,
4.) Susan Collins-ME, R, Class 2, up for re-election
5.) Angus King-ME, I
6.) Rand Paul-KY, R
7.) John Kennedy-LA, R
8.) Lisa Murkowski-AK, R, Class 2, up for re-election
9.) Martha McSally-AZ, R, up for Special Election in 2020, appointed to fulfill John McCain’s (Class 3) term, following John Kyl’s resignation. General Election will be in 2022.
10.) Lamar Alexander-TN, R, Class 2, retiring

Senator Alexander issued a written statement about impeachment October 8, 2019 as follows:

“It’s inappropriate for the president to be talking with foreign governments about investigating his political opponents, but impeachment would be a mistake. An election, which is just around the corner, is the right way to decide who should be president. Impeachment has never removed a president. It will only divide the country further.

“If the House impeaches the president, the Senate would be the jury. There would be many twists and turns between now and a Senate trial. Therefore, as a potential juror, I will have nothing more to say about impeachment until all the evidence is presented and all the arguments are made.”

All are GOPers, save Angus King, who defected from the Democrats to become independent in 1993, though like Bernie Sanders, he caucuses with them.

There are 53 GOP Senators, and to convict, and thereby remove from office, requires a Constitutionally-mandated ⅔ vote of members present (Article I, section 3). The VP CANNOT participate.

I sincerely doubt the Senate will vote to convict

even on Obstruction of Congress charges –

despite overwhelming open evidence that he did,
and his own public admissions that he did.

The Constitution requires a 2/3 vote of all Senators present to convict. If all 100 are present, that’s 67 votes.

There are 53 GOPers in the Senate (and 2 Independents, who caucus with the 45 Democrats), which would mean that, in order to obtain the 67 necessary votes, 20 GOPers would have to vote with the Democrats and Independents (who presumably will vote to convict). And, there are 4 GOP Senators retiring in 2020 – which is important, because they could vote their conscience to convict, and not be concerned about re-election.

Even if all 10 votes to watch (as mentioned above) voted with the Democrats, there’d still be 10 more GOP votes needed to convict, and that most likely ain’t gonna’ happen.

This is STRICTLY a power play, and the ONLY reason the GOP tolerates Trump is because of a line in the Bob Seger song “Night Moves”:

“I used her, she used me; neither one cared.”

However, come November, there’ll be several Senators up for re-election, and five announced retirements, and in at least one of the announced retirements – Tennessee Senator Lamar Alexander (R) – there have been no candidates finalized, and no primaries have been held.

There are 22 GOP Senators up for re-election, 21 of which are Class 2, meaning they’re up for re-election in 2020.

Come November, I predict that there could be 9-14 Class 2 GOP Senators who will face stiff re-election races, and could be replaced, which would give Democrats control of the Senate. House Democrats will likely solidify their hold, and could gain at least 10-12 seats.

Those GOP Senators are:
1.) Joni Ernst-IA
2.) Thom Tillis-NC
3.) David Purdue-GA
4.) John Cornyn-TX
5.) Lindsey Graham-SC
6.) Cindy Hyde-Smith-MS
7.) Dan Sullivan-AK
8.) Bill Cassidy-LA
9.) Steve Daines-MT
10.) Pat Roberts-KS – RETIRING
11.) Cory Gardner-CO
12.) Susan Collins-ME

Alabama’s Democratic Senator Doug Jones, who barely won Special Election (with the overwhelming support of Black Women) to complete the unfulfilled term of Jeff Sessions (who was briefly Trump’s Attorney General), is up for re-election, and is expected to have stiff competition… simply because the state blindly votes GOP.

There are 9 states with a Democrat and Republican each, in the Senate.
They are:
1.) WV – Shelley Moore Capito (R) – Class 2
2.) AL – Doug Jones (D) – Class 2
3.) MT – Steve Daines (R) – Class 2
4.) AZ – Martha McSally (R) – Class 2
5.) OH – NOT UP FOR 2020 RE-ELECTION
6.) PA – NOT UP FOR 2020 RE-ELECTION
7.) WI – NOT UP FOR 2020 RE-ELECTION
8.) CO – Cory Gardner (R) – Class 2
9.) ME – Susan Collins (R) – Class 2

Those Class 2 Senators up for 2020 re-election who could be expected to face stiff competition include:

1.) Thom Tillis (R) NC
2.) Joni Ernst (R) IA
3.) Kelly Loeffler (R) GA – 2020 Special Election, 2022 General Election
4.) Martha McSally (R) AZ
5.) John Cornyn (R) TX
6.) Lindsey Graham (R) SC
7.) Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) MS
8.) Dan Sullivan (R) AK
9.) Steve Daines (R) MT
10.) Bill Cassidy (R) LA
11.) Cory Gardner (R) CO
12.) Susan Collins (R) ME
13.) David Perdue (R) GA
14.) Tina Smith (D) MN
15.) Mark Warner (D) VA
16.) Doug Jones (D) AL
17.) Gary Peters (D) MI
18.) Tom Udall (D) NM
19.) Jeff Merkley (D) OR
20.) Chris Coons (D) DE
21.) Cory Booker (D) NJ
22.) Tennessee’s Class 2 Senator Lamar Alexander (R) is retiring, and the state’s candidate filing deadline is April 2, 2020; primaries will occur August 6.

In addition to TN’s Lamar Alexander, the following Senators are retiring in 2020:
1.) Pat Roberts (R) KS
2.) Johnny Isakson (R) GA
3.) Mike Enzi (R) WY
4.) Tom Udall (D) NM

Bottom line?

Stay tuned!

AND VOTE!!!

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