Warm Southern Breeze

"… there is no such thing as nothing."

To Trump, or Not to Trump?

Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Will History Repeat Itself?

Why Trump Worries About GOP Contenders

For the past four decades plus, regardless of party, every incumbent president who faced a serious primary opponent was weakened enough to ultimately lose re-election.

In 1968, Minnesota Senator Eugene McCarthy (NOT to be confused with U.S. Senator Joseph McCarthy (R-Wisconsin)) nearly upset then-POTUS Lyndon Baines Johnson in the New Hampshire primary by winning 40% of the votes to Johnson’s 49%.

Weeks later, Johnson stunned the nation and announced he would not seek another term.

In 1976, President Gerald Ford survived Reagan’s challenge from the right wing of the GOP, but lost to former Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter.

Four years later, Carter faced a strong opponent in Senator Edward M. Kennedy of Massachusetts and ended up losing to Reagan.

In 1992, conservative pundit Pat Buchanan shocked President George H.W. Bush with a strong showing in the New Hampshire primary by winning 65,106 votes to Bush’s 92,271.

A bitter primary battle ensued, and Bush lost to Clinton.

** FILE ** In this Oct. 15, 1992 file photo, President Bush, left, talks with independent candidate Ross Perot as Democratic candidate Bill Clinton stands aside at the end of their second presidential debate in Richmond, Va. (AP Photo/Marcy Nighswander, File)

The only exception is President Richard Nixon, who beat two marginal challengers in the 1972 Republican primaries and was reelected in a landslide.

He resigned the presidency less than two years later.

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