Warm Southern Breeze

"… there is no such thing as nothing."

Republicans Are In Trouble

Posted by Warm Southern Breeze on Wednesday, April 18, 2018

79.

That’s the current number of Congressional resignations from the House, and Senate which will be replaced soon.

The House has 73 resignations, while the Senate has 6, of which 60 are Republicans, and 19 Democrats.

Alabama’s Special Election in which Democrat Doug Jones won was a bellwether (he’s the first Democrat to represent Alabama in the Senate since Howell Heflin retired in 1997, and the first Democrat elected statewide since 2008), and Democrat Conor Lamb’s win in Pennsylvania’s highly gerrymandered 18th Congressional District was confirmation. Lamb, whose district voted for Trump by nearly 20 points and wasn’t supposed to win (The Cook Political Report rated the district R+11), was sworn in April 12. Pennsylvania’s State Supreme Court also ruled that such gerrymandering was unconstitutional.

Here’s another Special Election to watch.

April 24 is the date of Arizona’s Special Election to replace Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ, 8) who resigned amidst claims that he asked at least two female staffers to be surrogate mothers for him and his wife.

The Democratic candidate is Hiral Tipirneni, a former Emergency Room Physician who now works as a cancer research advocate.

Her Republican challenger is Republican AZ state Sen. Debbie Lesko.

Arizona Central newspaper reported from the candidates’ Campaign Finance disclosures, that Tipirneni has out-fund-raised Lesko.

“Tipirneni built her modest financial advantage on the strength of small-dollar donors, who collectively provided her with more money than Lesko took in from all individuals.”

They also noted that Lesko got more money from PACs and Special Interests than Tipirneni, “but had relatively little cash as of April 4, the cutoff for the report.”

The Seattle Post-Intelligencer reported that “Early voting started March 28 and nearly half of the expected 280,000 votes have already been cast.”

Arizona Election May Halt Recent Democratic Wins

https://www.seattlepi.com/news/politics/article/Arizona-election-may-halt-recent-Democratic-wins-12841521.php

As of this writing (April 17, 2018), there have been 79 retirement announcements made by U.S. Representatives and Senators. Specifically, 60 Republicans, and 19 Democrats – 73 House members, and 6 Senators – have announced they’ll either retire, or seek higher office.

The party in the White House usually loses seats in mid-term elections. So numerous pundits believe that the 2018 mid-term elections (Tuesday, November 6, 2018) are certain to bring a “Blue Wave,” meaning that Democrats are favorites to win many seats in Congress, and numerous state offices. Some are hoping for a Congressional “Tsunami Blue Wave,” meaning a veto-proof Democratic majority in the House and Senate, at which point they can practically make POTUS 45 irrelevant.

In the 114th Congress (2015-2017), ALL 435 seats in the House of Representatives are up for election/re-election.

House composition:
247 Republicans – 73 resignations
188 Democrats – 19 resignations

Senate composition:
46 Democrats
52 Republican
2 Independent

35 Senate seats up for election/re-election
23 Democrats
12 Republicans

39 Gubernatorial elections

RESIGNED FROM CONGRESS
1.) • Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) – Replaced by Sen. Tina Smith (D) To have Special Election November 6, 2018
2.) • Rep. Pat Tibieri (R-OH, 12) – VACANT
3.) • Rep. John Boehner (R-OH, 8) – Replaced by Rep. Warren Davidson (R)
4.) • Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT, 3) – Replaced by Rep. John Curtis (R)
5.) • Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) – Replaced by Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
6.) • Rep. John Conyers (D-MI, 13) – VACANT
7.) • Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL) – Replaced by Sen. Doug Jones (D)

D–3
R–4
H–4
S–3

TO RESIGN FROM CONGRESS
1.) • Rep. Joe Barton (R-TX, 6)
2.) • Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS)
3.) • Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN)
4.) • Rep. Charlie Dent (R-PA, 15)
5.) • Rep. Jimmy Duncan, Jr. (R-TN, 2)
6.) • Rep. Blake Farenthold, R-TX, 27)
7.) • Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ)
8.) • Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ, 8) – To Be Replaced April 24, 2018
9.) • Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-NJ, 11)
10.) • Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA, 6)

11.) • Rep. Trey Gowdy (R–SC, 4)
12.) • Rep. Gregg Harper (R-MS, 3)
13.) • Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT)
14.) • Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX, 5)
15.) • Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA, 49)
16.) • Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R-KS, 2)
17.) • Rep. Sam Johnson (R-TX, 3)
18.) • Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R-NJ, 2)
19.) • Rep. Patrick Meehan (R-PA, 7)
20.) • Rep. Tim Murphy (R-PA, 18) – Replaced by Rep. Conor Lamb (D)

21.) • Rep. Ted Poe (R-TX, 2)
22.) • Rep. Dave Reichert (R-WA, 8)
23.) • Rep. Tom Rooney (R-FL, 17)
24.) • Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL, 27)
25.) • Rep. Dennis Ross (R-FL, 12)
26.) • Rep. Ed Royce (R-CA, 39)
27.) • Rep. Bill Shuster (R-PA, 9)
38.) • Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX)
39.) • Rep. Pat Tiberi (R-OH, 12)
40.) • Rep. Dave Trott (R-MI, 11)

41.) • Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI, 1) SOTH
42.) • Rep. Ryan Costello (R-PA, 6)
43.) • Rep. Luis Guiterrez (D-IL, 4)
44). • Rep. Sander Levin (D-MI, 9)
45). • Rep. Bob Brady (D-PA, 1)
46). • Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-NH, 1)
47.) • Rep. Niki Tsongas (D-MA, 3)
48.) • Rep. Gene Green (D-TX, 29)
49.) • Rep. Ruben Kihuen (D-NV, 4)
50.) • Rep. Rick Nolan (D-MN, 8)
51.) • Rep. Elizabeth Esty (D-CT, 5)

D–9
R–42
H–47
S–4

TO CAMPAIGN FOR HIGHER OFFICE
1.) • Rep. Diane Black, (R-TN, 6)
2.) • Rep. Ron DeSantis (R-FL, 6)
3.) • Rep. Raul Labrador (R-ID, 1)
4.) • Rep. Kristi Noem (R-SD, at large)
5.) • Rep. Steve Pearce (R-NM, 2)
6.) • Rep. Luke Messer (R-IN, 6)
7.) • Rep. Todd Rokita (R-IN, 4)
8.) • Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH, 16)
9.) • Rep. Lou Barletta (R-PA, 11)
10.) • Rep. Evan Jenkins (R-WV, 3)

11.) • Rep. Martha McSally (R-AZ, 2)
12.) • Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN, 7)
13.) • Rep Kevin Cramer (R-ND, at large)
14.) • Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ, 9)
15.) • Rep. Jared Polis (D-CO, 2)
16.) • Rep. Tim Walz (D-MN, 1)
17.) • Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX, 16)
18.) • Rep. John Delaney (D-MD, 6)
19.) • Rep. Jacky Rosen (D-NV, 3)
20.) • Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI, 1)

21.) • Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-NM, 1)

D–7
R–14
H–21
S–0

TOTALS
R–60; D–19
GRAND TOTAL=79

HOUSE–73
SENATE–6

One Response to “Republicans Are In Trouble”

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